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Treasury yields dip as investors await key inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 4.4747%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.8400% after falling by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly on Tuesday as investors awaited fresh inflation data and looked to remarks from Federal Reserve policymakers. Investors looked to fresh key economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials, scanning them for hints about the path ahead for monetary policy. This is the first of two key inflation reports slated for the week, with the consumer price index for April being expected Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, PPI, Dow, CPI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is trying to slow down economic activity, says Judy SheltonJudy Shelton, Independent Institute senior fellow, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to react to April's PPI report, her expectations from the Fed, and more.
Persons: Judy Shelton Judy Shelton Organizations: Independent Institute, PPI
Thirty-year mortgage interest rates have been holding steady after dipping below 7% earlier this month, according to Zillow data. Once the Fed is able to start cutting rates, mortgage rates should also go down. On the other hand, if April's CPI data shows signs of cooling, mortgage rates could inch down a bit further. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Major indexes were slightly higher after the data as investors assessed the impact on rate cut outlooks. April's producer price index data beat estimates, gaining 0.5% for the month against 0.3% consensus estimates. The PPI data comes a day before Wednesday's consumer price index and will give investors a broader frame of reference. If CPI data is equally hot, the stuttering stock rally could face even more negative consequences. The 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.5% after the PPI data before slipping by about one basis point to 4.465.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Chris Zaccarelli, Keith Gill Organizations: Service, PPI, Independent, Federal, GameStop, AMC, Treasury, Here's
Experts react to April’s PPI report
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExperts react to April’s PPI reportPeter Earle, senior economist at the American Institute for Economic Research; Kitty Richards, senior fellow at Groundwork Collaborative; and CNBC's Rick Santelli join 'Squawk Box' to react to April's PPI data.
Persons: Peter Earle, Kitty Richards, Rick Santelli Organizations: PPI, American Institute for Economic Research
European stocks are heading for a lower open Tuesday as global investors await the latest U.S. inflation reports. April's consumer price index report is due out on Wednesday and economists expect that it rose 0.4% in April on a month-over-month basis, or 3.4% from 12 months earlier. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets pared gains hours after opening higher on Tuesday as stocks on Wall Street stumbled Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping an eight-day winning streak. U.S. stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening as Wall Street braced itself for the release of the producer price index reading for April on Tuesday. Economists polled by Dow Jones anticipate that the PPI gained 0.3% from the previous month.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Traders, Federal, Dow Jones, PPI Locations: Asia, Pacific
US average rent rose to just under $2,000 per month in April, Zillow reports. Tenants now need to earn 36% more than they did in 2019 to afford a typical rent. While rent growth continues, multifamily construction has softened its advance. Since the pandemic's start, rent has increased 31.4%, though income has only grown 23% through February. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Zillow, , haven't Organizations: Service, Business
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThe average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.09% last week, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 6.38% last week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is a nine-basis-point decrease from the previous week. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: Freddie Mac Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApril's market pullback was 'enough', we're back to a bull market: Carson Group's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Carson Group chief market strategist and Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives and cross asset, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' for a bull vs. bear debate on the state of the market.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick, Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Carson Group
European markets are heading for a mixed open at the start of the new trading week, and investors will be keeping a close eye on the latest U.S. inflation figures. April's consumer price index report is due out on Wednesday, with traders hoping that a return to rate hikes is largely off the table for the U.S. Federal Reserve despite a slew of hotter-than-expected inflation prints recently. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets were mixed as investors assessed China's stronger-than-expected April inflation data; China's consumer price index climbed 0.3% year on year, beating Reuters estimates of a 0.2% rise. India's inflation figures will also be out late Monday, with economists polled by Reuters expecting inflation in the world's fifth-largest economy to slow slightly to 4.8% in April, down from March's 4.85%.
Organizations: U.S . Federal, Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, March's
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by nearly 2 basis points at 4.485%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.844% after falling by more than 2 basis points. U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly Monday as investors looked to key inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials slated for the week. Investors awaited key economic data due this week, including April's consumer price index, which is expected Wednesday and will provide fresh insights into whether consumer inflation is easing or sticky. April's producer price index, which tracks inflation on a wholesale level, is also due this week.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan Survey
Stock futures were little changed on Sunday, with Wall Street looking toward fresh inflation data this week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. Investors will look for insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy moving forward with April's consumer price index report due out on Wednesday. Results so far have helped stocks remain resilient despite the inflation overhang. 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported as of Friday, with neatly 80% of firms surpassing Wall Street forecasts, per FactSet data.
Persons: Dow, Venu Krishna Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Traders, Fed, Wall, Barclays Locations: New York City
Lower pricing due to softening demand helped April electric vehicle sales at Ford more than double, even as the automaker was shifting resources away from the money-losing unit. Despite the volume increases, Ford Model e saw losses widen in Q1 to $1.32 billion on just $100 million in quarterly sales. Ford's hybrid sales in April rose almost 60% to 17,997 units. We believe a buyback would be a catalyst for Ford stock just like it has been for General Motors , which announced its repurchase plan back in November. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Michael Ward, Ford's, BEV, Ford, Ward, Jim Farley, Jim Cramer, That's, We're, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Danielle DeVries Organizations: Ford, Freedom Capital, Ford Model, ICE, Ford Blue, Ford Pro, General Motors, CNBC, New York Locations: EBIT
More than a quarter of US metros are still recovering from COVID-era job losses, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported. Today's job market amplifies fears of another recession, which some experts say could hit as soon as this year. AdvertisementAs analysts clash over when the next recession will befall the US, large swaths of the country are still bogged down in the previous downturn. The Federal Reserve Bank of New YorkBut this trend is especially distinct in the Northeast, a region that's home to particularly impacted metros. By this indicator, a recession started in October, confirmed further by accelerating job erosion, Danielle DiMartino Booth said.
Persons: , Danielle DiMartino Booth, it's, Frances Donald, Donald, We're, Gary Schilling Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, Service, US metros, QI, Bloomberg, Wall Street Locations: COVID, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Rust Belt, California, Hawaii, New Orleans, Honolulu, San Francisco, Cleveland , Detroit, Pittsburgh, Northeast, New York City, New York
US stocks jumped on Friday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average vied for an 8-day win streak. The upcoming April CPI report next week is the big data point that could move markets. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday, setting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up for a potential eight-day win streak. Next week, investors will be laser-focused on the Wednesday release of April's inflation report, with economists expecting a 0.3% rise in the consumer price index. Fundstrat's Tom Lee said a light CPI report next week could set the stock market up for more gains in May.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Michelle Bowman, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari, Michael Barr, Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Service, Federal Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
Average 30-year mortgage rates dropped this week and have been hovering in the upper 6% range, according to Zillow data. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Down (-0.18%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.11%, 18 basis points lower than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Fall (-0.28%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 6.99%, 28 basis points lower than last week.
Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank, Federal Reserve, Investors, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron
Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB
April saw the highest number of corporate bankruptcies in a year, S&P Global said. Eroding bets of an interest rate cut contribute to this, as burdened business throw in the towel. AdvertisementCorporate bankruptcies increased in recent months amid teetering confidence in a quick interest rate pivot. AdvertisementBy one measure, rising costs did slow when a rate cut looked likely in early 2024. But last month's stubborn inflation and slowing GDP made a Fed cut look unlikely, and yields shot up to 8.11%.
Persons: , April's, Frances Donald Organizations: P Global, Service, Federal, ICE, Fed, Investment
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThe average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.22% last week, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 6.47% last week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is a three-basis-point increase from the previous week. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Freddie Mac Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Reserve, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Chevron
A Piper Sandler recession indicator says an economic downturn could be here. This indicator typically precedes official NBER recession announcements by about four months. But Chief Investment Strategist Michael Kantrowitz says stocks should still rise in the near-term. Popular recession indicators like the Treasury yield curve and The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index have been signaling for over a year now that a downturn is ahead. Last week, a lesser-known gauge — with just as impressive a track record — joined their ranks in warning of trouble ahead for the US economy.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Michael Kantrowitz, , Piper Organizations: Conference, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business
Economist Frances Donald told Bloomberg TV that a sharper Fed pivot is ahead. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementMarkets are right to price in a Federal Reserve policy pivot but should brace for a rate-cutting cycle that's sharper than expected, economist Frances Donald told Bloomberg TV. "We believe we are heading into a proper downturn that will require a proper easing cycle." So we're not exiting the period in which rate hikes become really impactful in the economy," she said.
Persons: Frances Donald, , Donald, We're, Danielle DiMartino Booth Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Manulife Investment Management
Russia's oil revenue soared by 90% in April compared to the previous year, Bloomberg reported. The rise comes as sanctions have struggled to curb Russian energy flows since the war in Ukraine began. AdvertisementThe major funding sources for Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine — the country's oil and gas revenues —doubled in April despite sanctions. Bloomberg data also indicates Moscow will see approximately $126 billion in oil and gas tax revenue in 2024. That said, Bloomberg reported that April's oil and gas revenue to Russia's budget still dropped by about 6.4% compared to March, primarily due to substantial subsidies to the nation's fuel producers.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin's, Bloomberg Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Russia's Federal Tax Service, Bloomberg Economics Locations: Ukraine, Russia's, Russia, Moscow, China, India, Persian
The US economy may already be mired in recession, Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. Downside labor revisions and rising job losses indicate a downturn has hit, the QI Research CEO said. AdvertisementThe US is already mired in recessionary downturn, and rising job losses prove it, veteran forecaster Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. AdvertisementBy that standard, the rule was triggered in October of last year, according to recently published labor revisions through the third quarter of 2023, indicating job losses of 192,000. Other analysts have also projected rising recession risk, hand-in-hand with a labor market fallout.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, , there's, it's, Booth, Goldman Sachs, payrolls, David Rosenberg Organizations: Bloomberg TV, Downside, QI, Service, Bloomberg, Fox Business
Kepler Cheuvreux: Some U.S. data is indicating a slowdown
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKepler Cheuvreux: Some U.S. data is indicating a slowdownArnaud Girod, head of economics & cross asset strategy at Kepler Cheuvreux, discusses April's U.S. jobs report and how it could impact the stock market.
Persons: Kepler, Arnaud Girod
Bitcoin will still reach $150,000 by 2025, Bernstein reaffirmed in a new note. ETF and spot bitcoin demand has remained strong, analysts wrote. "Investors ask us if anything has changed on our $150K Bitcoin price view and if the post-halving price correction has affected our conviction. Second, rule updates from the Financial Accounting Standards Board pertaining to crypto are driving corporate interest in bitcoin, Bernstein said. Advertisement"Overall, healthy Bitcoin demand and continued discipline in the Bitcoin mining cycle, allowing the Bitcoin party to last longer this time.
Persons: Bitcoin, Bernstein, , Gautam Chhugani, Mahika Sapra, Block, Chhugani, Bernstein isn't, bitcoin Organizations: Service, ETF, Financial, outflows, Chartered, ~$ Locations: outflows, bitcoin
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